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MPD Group - Specialist in Airport Advisory and Management
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Air Traffic Forecasting

The accurate assessment of an airport’s traffic potential is fundamental to airport planning and strategy, particularly in uncertain economic times. Independent air traffic projections provide a sound basis on which to develop or value an airport business.

MPD’s traffic forecasters have a wide range of experience with BAA, Manchester Airport and other airport organisations and use robust and proven forecasting techniques.

Air traffic forecasting services include:-

  • Catchment area analysis and market demand studies
  • Reviews of airline plans and specific route forecasts
  • Market sector analysis and forecasts (e.g. scheduled, charter, airfreight, trucked freight etc)
  • Short, medium and long term forecasts for airport capacity planning, airport strategy and for due diligence purposes (passenger, airfreight, air transport movements, busy hour rates etc).
  • Subsidiary forecasts for e.g. car parking, employment etc

Experience of Air Traffic Forecasting

In 2012 MPD produced traffic estimates as part of a major business planning exercise undertaken on a major regional airport in the Philippines.

Recently MPD has also provided traffic estimates for a proposed new greenfield site airport development in Bulgaria.

MPD was the specialist airport advisor and technical due diligence/air traffic forecasting advisor to the consortium which acquired Glasgow Prestwick International Airport.

MPD forecasting specialists have undertaken significant forecasting work in many countries, including:-

Cyprus Airports Privatisation Advice

Preparation of passenger traffic forecasts.

·      Manila Airport – New International Terminal

Review of traffic forecasts, risk analysis, economic and technical evaluation, financial modelling, capital appraisal and other due diligence investigations.

·      Cochin Airport Feasibility Review, India

Production of regional air traffic forecasts.  Investigation of regulatory regime, economic drivers, air navigation and non-air navigation tariffs and new freight and passenger markets on behalf of Asian Infrastructure Fund; a potential investor in the project.

·      Croatian Island Airports

Production of traffic forecasts and market evaluation for the European Bank of Reconstruction and Development (EBRD).

·      Peru - Lima Airport – Traffic Study 1997

Appointed by Fraport (Frankfurt Airport) to carry out a comprehensive traffic study of Lima Airport on behalf of the new ownership consortium. The study included definition of the South American air transport market, liaison with domestic and international airlines operating into Lima and the establishment of future traffic patterns.

·      Atyrau Airport, Kazakhstan– Business Plan and Masterplan

Appointed by European Bank of Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) to develop a Business Plan linked to the airport Masterplan.  Included extensive traffic forecasting work.

·      Milan Malpensa Airport Capacity Study

Study undertaken on behalf of the European Commission, focused on evaluation of the peak traffic demand at Malpensa Airport including  assessment of capacity (including slot availability) in order to provide an acceptable level of service, following complaints from ten major EU carriers regarding their compulsory transfer to Malpensa Airport.


Transaction Support

12th August, 2016
Full Story
20th November, 2014
  New Airline Advisory West Africa -      ..
Full Story
6th October, 2014
  Major Economic Impact Study Scandinavia    ..
Full Story
23rd November, 2012
  Business Growth Newquay Airport -     ..
Full Story
6th August, 2012
  Major FBO Contractual Advice       ..
Full Story
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